20090609

Centering across the world?

RealClearPolitics - The Collapsing Global Left: "Does the smashing victory of the Conservative Party, and these other victories mean that the democratic world is suddenly embracing our conservative principles? No: not at all. But does it mean that voters, almost everywhere they can vote, are rejecting the message of the Left? Yes. Real conservatism is not winning elections yet; but the Left is clearly losing."

On and off I have been discussing this phenomenon. Centering of the most popular politics around the centre-right. I don't think it will ever go conservative as Bruce Walker, the author of the article, suggests. It will linger at the centre-right versus the center for a while.

In Sweden it is interesting what will happen when the people younger than thirty will start to influence the voting. The Pirate Party and the Greens have their majority voters in this age group.

Reading up on the Pirate Party and the international evaluations of its success, it seems like it will be important which feature of its policy will come to dominate. Civil rights or free access to the Internet. The most probable group placement for the Pirate Party in the European Parliament is the Liberals or the Greens. They claim non-alignment to the traditional right and left scale in Sweden.

If the Pirate Party (in this case what an unfortunate name) and the Greens join forces to mobilize the young in Sweden the civil rights question and the righteousness of climate thinking would amount to a formidable political force in 20 years.

Evidence for this can be found in the Eurobarometer survey 2009. Sweden, Finland and Denmark feature 71%, 69% and 68%, respectively for The Protection of Human Rights in the World. The EU27 average is 53% for this item.

For Combating Effectively Climate Change one finds for Sweden, Denmark and Finland, 79%, 59% and 53%, respectively, that are positive. The EU27 average is only 31%.

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