20090513

Is it possible to compare China 1969 with Iran today?

Dick Erixon describes a discussion between a Chinese and a Briton concerning the relationship between China and EU in his blog today. The Briton claims that China despises EU.

Erixon gives the reference to a Policy Report by John Fox and Francois Godement called: A Power Audit of EU-China Relations from the European think tank ECFR. Charlemagne might have read the report when he wrote Dragon Nightmares. China is beating EU at present. For one thing they are more read up on EU than the other way around.

One of the conclusions of the report is that the Lisbon Treaty might be a step in the right direction when it comes to recognition by China. Dealing with 27 countires is apparently dealing with a few too much. However, according to Charlemagne the Chinese revere EU red tape and welfare systems.

Sweden was apparently the first Western country to recognize the People's Republic of China in 1950. However the realist Richard Nixon importantly "opened up" China to the world around 1969-70. He recognized that a balance of power between the US, Soviet Union and PRC was possible--the so called Triangular Diplomacy. He also thought it advantageous to expose the die hard communists to Western traditions although the latter objective proved to be quite difficult.

President Obama might, as it seems, try to open up Iran while he, like Nixon, fights his Vietnam in AfPak? A war Nixon did not begin but tried to exit honorably. The amount of anti-imperialistic vitriol coming out of PRC at the time propably compares well with that emanating from Iran today.

Realizing that the anti-shia force from Arabs would not be sufficient for a green light for an attack on Iran and soothing the Israelis wounds could lead to the game-changing removal of sanctions against Iran. The report above states that the deals between EU and China on Iran contains loopholes in the sanctions anyhow making them less effective than they would be if the EU and the US really had China on bord on the deal. In reality there might not be any way in which sanctions could be increased anyway.

The Chinese gave Pakistan the bomb and Pakistan is cozying up to China more than to the West. Maybe China can take the main responsibility for Pakistan? The Russians is about to give Iran the bomb but maybe they don't have to... if the climate changes? After all there is not even a consensus about if Iran is capable of making the bomb now or not.

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