20090813

Whose side is Brazil on?

Latin America's new alliances: Whose side is Brazil on? The Economist: "It seems that no international gathering, be it to discuss financial reform or climate change, is complete without Lula, a former metal worker and trade-union leader whose bonhomie and instinct for conciliation between political opposites make him friends everywhere. “He’s my man,” gushed Barack Obama at the G20 summit in London; Fidel Castro calls him “our brother Lula”."

Where does Brazil belong? It is perhaps keeping its options open. Goldman Sachs grouped it once among China, India and Russia in the BRIC countris that would dominate the world around 2050. Interestingly, the composition of the US would be more like that of Brazil at this time. Brazil has 54% white, which is mostly latinos, 39% mulattos and 6% black. Perhaps it is politically incorrect to discuss the matter in such a way but I think it is useful to a certain extent. It is also a democracy even if its affinity apparently is increasing towards China at the expense of its friendship to USA. Not getting into nuclear weapons he is in reality perhaps mostly Obama's man after all.

Then the question is if it has to belong. It is built from Africa and Europe and native Indians. Apparently, Lula and his leadership sees themselves as a leader in the south. The leader of South America. Like if Turkey instead of becoming an EU member should take care of the Arab nations in the Middle East. Lula da Silva is also a good friend of Hugo Chavez. The 200m Brazilians now dominate South America with a GDP per capita of $10,000.

Well, it will become evident if a "cold war" scenario is building in Latin America as in the Middle East.

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